Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 14.8 in
- RP forecast
- 14.7 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 14.8 in | 14.7 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 8.1 in | 8.1 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.5 mph | 95.1 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 16.7 in | 16.8 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 7.6 in | 7.7 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 99 | 101 | 103 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 103 | 104 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 96 | 96 | — |
| Zone rate | 46.8% | 47.8% | 47.6% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 27.5% | 28.5% | 29.1% | — |
| Whiff rate | 21.5% | 23.7% | 25.5% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 54.2% | 48.9% | 50.9% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 45.0% | 40.8% | 38.4% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.8 pp | 0.8 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 14.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 20.0% | 21.5% | 23.5% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 34.4% | 34.9% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 61.5% | 61.5% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 24.2% | 24.8% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 2.7% | 1.8% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.5% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 20.8% | 22.0% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 20.0% | 19.2% | — |