Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 9.9 in
- RP forecast
- 9.8 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 9.9 in | 9.8 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 13.7 in | 13.8 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.8 mph | 93.4 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 2.7 in | 2.9 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 13.5 in | 13.7 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 95 | 97 | 98 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 93 | 95 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 97 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 43.6% | 46.7% | 46.5% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 25.8% | 27.5% | 28.1% | — |
| Whiff rate | 13.2% | 18.3% | 20.0% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 2.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 50.0% | 42.6% | 44.6% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 50.0% | 41.6% | 39.1% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 13.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 8.7% | 13.5% | 15.6% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 27.2% | 27.8% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 48.9% | 48.9% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 26.5% | 27.1% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 22.5% | 21.6% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 2.0% | 2.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 23.8% | 25.0% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 21.2% | 20.4% | — |