Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 10.1 in
- RP forecast
- 10.1 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 10.1 in | 10.1 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.9 in | 16.9 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.8 mph | 93.4 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 4.9 in | 5.0 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | — * | — * | — |
| Stuff+ | 106 | 100 | 102 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 103 | 105 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 98 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 47.2% | 48.1% | 47.8% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 31.8% | 29.1% | 29.7% | — |
| Whiff rate | 29.1% | 26.2% | 27.9% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 15.8% | 31.3% | 33.3% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 31.6% | 37.9% | 35.5% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.1 pp | -0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 32.4% | 25.1% | 27.2% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 41.0% | 41.5% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 54.1% | 54.1% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 47.2% | 47.8% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 3.4% | 2.5% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 37.1% | 38.3% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | — * | — * | — |