Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 6.0 in
- RP forecast
- 6.0 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 6.0 in | 6.0 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 17.8 in | 17.8 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.6 mph | 95.2 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 7.4 in | 7.5 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 6.9 in | 7.1 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 100 | 99 | 100 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 100 | 102 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 93 | 94 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 45.8% | 46.9% | 46.7% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 25.0% | 25.6% | 26.2% | — |
| Whiff rate | 23.6% | 23.1% | 24.8% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 15.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 26.9% | 36.1% | 38.1% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 34.6% | 43.4% | 41.0% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.2 pp | -0.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.9% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 16.7% | 17.8% | 19.9% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 22.2% | 22.8% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 71.1% | 71.1% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 37.7% | 38.3% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 7.3% | 6.4% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 27.8% | 29.0% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 17.6% | 16.8% | — |