Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 9.6 in
- RP forecast
- 9.6 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 9.6 in | 9.6 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.4 in | 15.4 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.4 mph | 94.9 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 7.0 in | 7.1 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 12.8 in | 12.9 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 100 | 99 | 100 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 97 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 105 | 105 | — |
| Zone rate | 50.2% | 49.2% | 49.0% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 25.0% | 27.4% | 28.0% | — |
| Whiff rate | 20.9% | 22.7% | 24.4% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 49.1% | 43.4% | 45.4% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 41.8% | 40.7% | 38.2% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 12.3% | 17.7% | 19.8% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 13.9% | 14.4% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 68.1% | 68.1% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 41.2% | 41.8% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 18.9% | 18.0% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 20.7% | 22.0% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 19.4% | 18.6% | — |