Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 17.1 in
- RP forecast
- 17.1 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.32 | 1.37 | 20.0% | 9.1% | 50.2% |
| RP | 3.86 | 1.33 | 22.1% | 9.3% | 52.2% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 17.1 in | 17.1 in | 17.1 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 2.8 in | 2.8 in | 2.8 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.2 mph | 93.8 mph | 93.2 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 20.6 in | 20.7 in | 20.6 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 15.1 in | 15.3 in | 15.1 in |
| Stuff+ | 94 | 96 | 98 | 96 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | 97 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | 97 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | 95 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 105 | 105 | 105 |
| Zone rate | 42.2% | 45.6% | 45.4% | 45.6% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 30.2% | 28.8% | 29.4% | 28.8% |
| Whiff rate | 24.4% | 23.3% | 25.0% | 23.3% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% |
| Ground-ball rate | 50.7% | 50.2% | 52.2% | 50.2% |
| Hard-hit rate | 30.0% | 37.9% | 35.5% | 37.9% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 11.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% |
| Strikeout rate | 21.8% | 20.0% | 22.1% | 20.0% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 29.3% | 29.8% | 29.3% |
| All fastball usage | — | 52.4% | 52.4% | 52.4% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 32.0% | 32.6% | 32.0% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 19.6% | 18.7% | 19.6% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| First secondary usage | — | 26.1% | 27.4% | 26.1% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 19.9% | 19.2% | 19.9% |