Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 7.9 in
- RP forecast
- 7.8 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 7.9 in | 7.8 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 17.5 in | 17.5 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.9 mph | 95.5 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 9.5 in | 9.6 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 18.7 in | 18.8 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 99 | 99 | 100 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 99 | 101 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 101 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 96 | 96 | — |
| Zone rate | 42.1% | 46.1% | 45.9% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 30.2% | 28.7% | 29.3% | — |
| Whiff rate | 23.5% | 23.9% | 25.7% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 34.4% | 38.1% | 40.1% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 29.5% | 38.2% | 35.8% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.2 pp | -0.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 13.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 14.9% | 18.9% | 21.0% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 21.2% | 21.7% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 62.1% | 62.2% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 32.2% | 32.8% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 17.4% | 16.5% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 26.2% | 27.5% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 17.9% | 17.1% | — |