Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 10.9 in
- RP forecast
- 10.9 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 2.89 | 1.06 | 35.2% | 8.5% | 43.0% |
| RP | 2.43 | 1.02 | 37.3% | 8.8% | 45.0% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 10.9 in | 10.9 in | 10.9 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.1 in | 15.2 in | 15.1 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 99.9 mph | 100.5 mph | 99.9 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 4.6 in | 4.8 in | 4.6 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 10.1 in | 10.2 in | 10.1 in |
| Stuff+ | 134 | 115 | 117 | 115 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 120 | 122 | 120 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 112 | 113 | 112 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 109 | 110 | 109 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 104 | 104 | 104 |
| Zone rate | 50.3% | 49.8% | 49.6% | 49.8% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 35.0% | 32.2% | 32.8% | 32.2% |
| Whiff rate | 37.3% | 35.1% | 36.8% | 35.1% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 3.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% |
| Ground-ball rate | 44.2% | 43.0% | 45.0% | 43.0% |
| Hard-hit rate | 33.3% | 37.0% | 34.6% | 37.0% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% |
| Strikeout rate | 37.9% | 35.2% | 37.3% | 35.2% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 29.4% | 29.9% | 29.4% |
| All fastball usage | — | 67.3% | 67.3% | 67.3% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 58.7% | 59.3% | 58.7% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| First secondary usage | — | 18.5% | 19.8% | 18.5% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.9% |