Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 11.0 in
- RP forecast
- 11.0 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 11.0 in | 11.0 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | -1.0 in | -1.0 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 89.4 mph | 90.0 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 17.9 in | 18.0 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 9.9 in | 10.1 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 87 | 94 | 96 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 90 | 92 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 40.9% | 46.2% | 45.9% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 25.3% | 25.8% | 26.4% | — |
| Whiff rate | 21.4% | 19.0% | 20.8% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 48.3% | 47.4% | 49.4% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 34.5% | 39.8% | 37.4% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.8 pp | 0.8 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 19.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 11.9% | 13.7% | 15.7% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 33.4% | 33.9% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 53.1% | 53.1% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 31.1% | 31.7% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 10.4% | 9.5% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 3.9% | 4.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 29.1% | 30.4% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 18.5% | 17.7% | — |