Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 9.0 in
- RP forecast
- 9.0 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 9.0 in | 9.0 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.0 in | 16.0 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 97.5 mph | 98.1 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 8.5 in | 8.7 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 6.3 in | 6.4 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 101 | 100 | 102 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 102 | 103 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 96 | 96 | — |
| Zone rate | 50.0% | 49.1% | 48.9% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 28.0% | 28.5% | 29.1% | — |
| Whiff rate | 24.9% | 25.2% | 26.9% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 4.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 47.2% | 43.6% | 45.6% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 44.8% | 42.1% | 39.6% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 22.8% | 22.5% | 24.6% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 24.6% | 25.2% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 66.1% | 66.1% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 40.0% | 40.6% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 8.6% | 7.7% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.5% | 0.9% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 22.0% | 23.2% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 20.5% | 19.7% | — |