Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 8.6 in
- RP forecast
- 8.6 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.02 | 1.26 | 24.1% | 8.2% | 42.3% |
| RP | 3.56 | 1.22 | 26.2% | 8.5% | 44.3% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 8.6 in | 8.6 in | 8.6 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 17.4 in | 17.4 in | 17.4 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 98.0 mph | 98.6 mph | 98.0 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 4.7 in | 4.8 in | 4.7 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 17.3 in | 17.4 in | 17.3 in |
| Stuff+ | 107 | 104 | 105 | 104 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 107 | 108 | 107 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | 101 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 99 | 99 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 98 | 98 | 98 |
| Zone rate | 48.4% | 48.7% | 48.5% | 48.7% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 28.1% | 29.7% | 30.3% | 29.7% |
| Whiff rate | 22.2% | 26.3% | 28.0% | 26.3% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% |
| Ground-ball rate | 39.5% | 42.3% | 44.3% | 42.3% |
| Hard-hit rate | 39.2% | 39.9% | 37.4% | 39.9% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 11.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% |
| Strikeout rate | 20.8% | 24.1% | 26.2% | 24.1% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 29.4% | 29.9% | 29.4% |
| All fastball usage | — | 55.3% | 55.3% | 55.3% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 44.6% | 45.1% | 44.6% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 15.3% | 14.4% | 15.3% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| First secondary usage | — | 19.4% | 20.6% | 19.4% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 15.3% | 14.5% | 15.3% |