Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 13.7 in
- RP forecast
- 13.7 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.59 | 1.36 | 18.6% | 8.1% | 43.9% |
| RP | 4.13 | 1.32 | 20.7% | 8.4% | 45.9% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 13.7 in | 13.7 in | 13.7 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 6.4 in | 6.4 in | 6.4 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.6 mph | 93.2 mph | 92.6 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 9.6 in | 9.8 in | 9.6 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 10.7 in | 10.8 in | 10.7 in |
| Stuff+ | 92 | 97 | 98 | 97 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 93 | 95 | 93 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 103 | 102 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 96 | 97 | 96 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 101 | 101 | 101 |
| Zone rate | 49.0% | 49.3% | 49.1% | 49.3% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 28.4% | 28.0% | 28.6% | 28.0% |
| Whiff rate | 23.1% | 23.0% | 24.7% | 23.0% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% |
| Ground-ball rate | 35.0% | 43.9% | 45.9% | 43.9% |
| Hard-hit rate | 35.3% | 38.5% | 36.0% | 38.5% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% |
| Strikeout rate | 18.1% | 18.6% | 20.7% | 18.6% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 25.3% | 25.9% | 25.3% |
| All fastball usage | — | 56.3% | 56.3% | 56.3% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 17.7% | 18.2% | 17.7% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 18.8% | 17.9% | 18.8% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| First secondary usage | — | 33.9% | 35.1% | 33.9% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 22.7% | 21.9% | 22.7% |