Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 5.6 in
- RP forecast
- 5.5 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 5.6 in | 5.5 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 18.8 in | 18.8 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.2 mph | 94.8 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 10.2 in | 10.4 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | — * | — * | — |
| Stuff+ | 117 | 106 | 107 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 106 | 108 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 108 | 109 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 100 | 100 | — |
| Zone rate | 49.0% | 48.7% | 48.5% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 27.4% | 28.8% | 29.4% | — |
| Whiff rate | 35.7% | 30.4% | 32.1% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 4.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 22.1% | 33.2% | 35.2% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 35.3% | 37.4% | 35.0% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.1 pp | -0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 36.6% | 28.8% | 30.9% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 23.0% | 23.5% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 72.2% | 72.2% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 68.1% | 68.7% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 4.1% | 3.2% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 20.1% | 21.3% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | — * | — * | — |