Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 11.3 in
- RP forecast
- 11.2 in
Loading projection…
Final projection unavailable. The results-only forecast remains available below.
Final role scenarios and park context unavailable
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 11.3 in | 11.2 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.9 in | 15.9 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.1 mph | 94.7 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 7.7 in | 7.8 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 18.1 in | 18.2 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 94 | 96 | 97 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 94 | 96 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 96 | 97 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 105 | 105 | — |
| Zone rate | 45.5% | 47.4% | 47.2% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 28.3% | 27.9% | 28.5% | — |
| Whiff rate | 14.8% | 19.6% | 21.3% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 29.2% | 36.4% | 38.4% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 35.4% | 40.0% | 37.6% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.4 pp | -0.4 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 7.4% | 15.0% | 17.1% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 26.0% | 26.6% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 54.4% | 54.4% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 31.6% | 32.2% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 20.2% | 19.3% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 21.8% | 23.0% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 20.6% | 19.8% | — |