Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 6.3 in
- RP forecast
- 6.3 in
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Final role scenarios and park context unavailable
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 6.3 in | 6.3 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.8 in | 15.9 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 97.9 mph | 98.5 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 4.5 in | 4.6 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 5.6 in | 5.7 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 109 | 105 | 107 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 93 | 95 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 111 | 112 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 109 | 110 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 45.5% | 47.4% | 47.2% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 33.3% | 30.3% | 30.9% | — |
| Whiff rate | 16.7% | 23.1% | 24.8% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 66.7% | 49.7% | 51.7% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 0.0% | 32.5% | 30.0% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | — * | — * | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 0.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 0.0% | 16.1% | 18.2% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 16.4% | 16.9% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 35.4% | 35.4% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 27.9% | 28.5% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 53.8% | 52.9% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 49.4% | 50.7% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 11.6% | 10.8% | — |
2026 MLB arsenal evidence unavailable