Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 12.4 in
- RP forecast
- 12.4 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 12.4 in | 12.4 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 12.7 in | 12.7 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.9 mph | 93.5 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 5.5 in | 5.6 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 19.4 in | 19.5 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 103 | 100 | 102 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 103 | 104 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 103 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 87 | 87 | — |
| Zone rate | 46.9% | 48.4% | 48.2% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 20.5% | 25.6% | 26.2% | — |
| Whiff rate | 27.0% | 24.6% | 26.4% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 3.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 27.6% | 38.3% | 40.4% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 55.2% | 44.6% | 42.1% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.1 pp | -0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 23.2% | 11.2% | 11.5% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 21.4% | 21.7% | 23.8% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 34.5% | 35.0% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 59.0% | 59.0% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 42.0% | 42.6% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 5.9% | 5.0% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 31.1% | 32.3% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 14.5% | 13.7% | — |