Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 9.0 in
- RP forecast
- 8.9 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 9.0 in | 8.9 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.7 in | 16.7 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.1 mph | 92.7 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 11.8 in | 11.9 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 15.5 in | 15.7 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 91 | 97 | 98 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 97 | 99 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 96 | 97 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 93 | 94 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 101 | 101 | — |
| Zone rate | 47.2% | 48.0% | 47.8% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 29.8% | 28.3% | 28.9% | — |
| Whiff rate | 21.7% | 22.7% | 24.4% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 15.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 45.5% | 42.1% | 44.1% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 47.7% | 40.9% | 38.5% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 14.0% | 17.9% | 20.0% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 21.9% | 22.5% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 50.4% | 50.4% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 28.1% | 28.7% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 29.4% | 28.5% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.1% | 0.4% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 28.0% | 29.3% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 16.9% | 16.2% | — |