Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 15.0 in
- RP forecast
- 15.0 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 15.0 in | 15.0 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 13.8 in | 13.8 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 95.1 mph | 95.7 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 4.6 in | 4.7 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 16.6 in | 16.7 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 94 | 96 | 97 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 95 | 97 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 98 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 37.3% | 45.4% | 45.2% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 31.3% | 26.6% | 27.2% | — |
| Whiff rate | 36.4% | 26.7% | 28.5% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 36.4% | 34.5% | 36.5% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 27.3% | 38.2% | 35.8% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.5 pp | 0.5 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 13.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 13.3% | 15.5% | 17.6% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 37.0% | 37.5% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 60.6% | 60.7% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 53.3% | 53.9% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 2.4% | 1.5% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 21.2% | 22.4% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 11.6% | 10.8% | — |