Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 10.1 in
- RP forecast
- 10.0 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 10.1 in | 10.0 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.6 in | 16.7 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 96.4 mph | 97.0 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 5.1 in | 5.3 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | — * | — * | — |
| Stuff+ | 96 | 96 | 97 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 96 | 98 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 96 | 96 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 43.8% | 46.7% | 46.5% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 26.8% | 24.0% | 24.6% | — |
| Whiff rate | 22.2% | 19.9% | 21.6% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 13.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 21.7% | 31.6% | 33.6% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 43.5% | 46.4% | 44.0% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 14.7% | 11.8% | 12.1% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 17.6% | 16.3% | 18.4% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 49.4% | 50.0% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 48.8% | 48.8% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 42.1% | 42.6% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 2.2% | 1.3% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 40.8% | 42.1% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | — * | — * | — |