Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 9.1 in
- RP forecast
- 9.0 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 9.1 in | 9.0 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.1 in | 15.1 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.2 mph | 94.8 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 2.3 in | 2.4 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 15.1 in | 15.3 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 98 | 99 | 100 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 98 | 100 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 103 | 103 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 53.3% | 50.4% | 50.1% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 23.8% | 27.0% | 27.6% | — |
| Whiff rate | 19.0% | 22.1% | 23.8% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 28.6% | 37.1% | 39.1% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 57.1% | 43.6% | 41.2% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 20.0% | 20.5% | 22.6% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 25.1% | 25.6% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 59.9% | 59.9% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 52.6% | 53.2% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 15.7% | 14.8% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 20.3% | 21.5% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 16.4% | 15.7% | — |