Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 7.7 in
- RP forecast
- 7.6 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 7.7 in | 7.6 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 13.2 in | 13.2 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.7 mph | 93.3 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 13.9 in | 14.1 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 14.2 in | 14.3 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 101 | 98 | 100 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 97 | 99 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 102 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 55.7% | 51.6% | 51.4% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 30.2% | 28.5% | 29.1% | — |
| Whiff rate | 23.8% | 21.7% | 23.4% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 38.9% | 39.3% | 41.3% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 44.4% | 42.1% | 39.7% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 2.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 19.6% | 18.1% | 20.2% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 28.3% | 28.8% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 63.3% | 63.3% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 47.9% | 48.5% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 8.2% | 7.3% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 24.5% | 25.8% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 10.8% | 10.0% | — |