Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 6.0 in
- RP forecast
- 5.9 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 6.0 in | 5.9 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 13.9 in | 13.9 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.6 mph | 93.2 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 16.5 in | 16.6 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 7.1 in | 7.2 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 105 | 101 | 102 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 103 | 104 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 103 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 98 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 43.2% | 46.6% | 46.3% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 26.9% | 27.9% | 28.5% | — |
| Whiff rate | 20.7% | 22.6% | 24.4% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 14.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 42.9% | 41.9% | 43.9% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 53.6% | 41.9% | 39.5% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.7 pp | 0.7 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 13.5% | 18.2% | 20.3% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 38.3% | 38.8% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 48.9% | 48.9% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 36.3% | 36.9% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 10.4% | 9.5% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 2.4% | 2.7% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 22.9% | 24.1% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 12.7% | 11.9% | — |