Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 7.6 in
- RP forecast
- 7.5 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.01 | 1.26 | 24.4% | 8.2% | 43.1% |
| RP | 3.56 | 1.22 | 26.5% | 8.5% | 45.1% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 7.6 in | 7.5 in | 7.6 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.3 in | 15.4 in | 15.3 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.6 mph | 94.1 mph | 93.6 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 17.1 in | 17.2 in | 17.1 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 17.2 in | 17.3 in | 17.2 in |
| Stuff+ | 102 | 102 | 103 | 102 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 102 | 104 | 102 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 103 | 104 | 103 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 103 | 102 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 104 | 104 | 104 |
| Zone rate | 46.1% | 46.9% | 46.7% | 46.9% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 29.4% | 28.5% | 29.1% | 28.5% |
| Whiff rate | 22.7% | 24.9% | 26.6% | 24.9% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% |
| Ground-ball rate | 45.5% | 43.1% | 45.1% | 43.1% |
| Hard-hit rate | 44.0% | 41.0% | 38.6% | 41.0% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% |
| Strikeout rate | 23.3% | 24.4% | 26.5% | 24.4% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 27.6% | 28.1% | 27.6% |
| All fastball usage | — | 58.7% | 58.7% | 58.7% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 33.5% | 34.1% | 33.5% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 14.0% | 13.1% | 14.0% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| First secondary usage | — | 23.6% | 24.8% | 23.6% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 19.6% | 18.8% | 19.6% |