Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 11.1 in
- RP forecast
- 11.0 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 3.90 | 1.18 | 26.3% | 7.5% | 34.8% |
| RP | 3.44 | 1.14 | 28.3% | 7.8% | 36.8% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 11.1 in | 11.0 in | 11.1 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.5 in | 16.6 in | 16.5 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.3 mph | 93.8 mph | 93.3 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 19.7 in | 19.8 in | 19.7 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 12.4 in | 12.5 in | 12.4 in |
| Stuff+ | 100 | 99 | 101 | 99 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | 101 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 98 | 98 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | 100 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 104 | 104 | 104 |
| Zone rate | 53.6% | 51.0% | 50.8% | 51.0% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 32.2% | 30.3% | 30.9% | 30.3% |
| Whiff rate | 26.5% | 26.1% | 27.8% | 26.1% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% |
| Ground-ball rate | 32.0% | 34.8% | 36.8% | 34.8% |
| Hard-hit rate | 36.9% | 37.5% | 35.1% | 37.5% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% |
| Strikeout rate | 29.6% | 26.3% | 28.3% | 26.3% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% |
| All fastball usage | — | 59.4% | 59.4% | 59.4% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 42.3% | 42.9% | 42.3% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 33.2% | 32.3% | 33.2% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 32.3% | 33.6% | 32.3% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 15.1% | 14.4% | 15.1% |