Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 6.3 in
- RP forecast
- 6.3 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.26 | 1.27 | 21.5% | 7.6% | 41.2% |
| RP | 3.80 | 1.24 | 23.6% | 7.8% | 43.2% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 6.3 in | 6.3 in | 6.3 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.9 in | 16.9 in | 16.9 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.6 mph | 93.1 mph | 92.6 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 9.4 in | 9.5 in | 9.4 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 15.6 in | 15.7 in | 15.6 in |
| Stuff+ | 95 | 98 | 99 | 98 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 93 | 94 | 93 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 102 | 102 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 106 | 106 | 106 |
| Zone rate | 47.5% | 48.2% | 48.0% | 48.2% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 29.4% | 28.8% | 29.4% | 28.8% |
| Whiff rate | 25.8% | 25.4% | 27.1% | 25.4% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% |
| Ground-ball rate | 40.0% | 41.2% | 43.2% | 41.2% |
| Hard-hit rate | 37.7% | 37.7% | 35.2% | 37.7% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% |
| Strikeout rate | 21.2% | 21.5% | 23.6% | 21.5% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 30.4% | 31.0% | 30.4% |
| All fastball usage | — | 50.5% | 50.5% | 50.5% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 24.2% | 24.8% | 24.2% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 19.5% | 18.6% | 19.5% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 21.2% | 22.4% | 21.2% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 19.1% | 18.3% | 19.1% |