Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 17.0 in
- RP forecast
- 17.0 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.39 | 1.34 | 21.5% | 8.7% | 43.7% |
| RP | 3.93 | 1.30 | 23.6% | 8.9% | 45.7% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 17.0 in | 17.0 in | 17.0 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 7.0 in | 7.0 in | 7.0 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 95.0 mph | 95.6 mph | 95.0 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 9.4 in | 9.6 in | 9.4 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 15.6 in | 15.7 in | 15.6 in |
| Stuff+ | 104 | 101 | 102 | 101 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | 100 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 104 | 105 | 104 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | 98 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 101 | 101 | 101 |
| Zone rate | 49.5% | 48.9% | 48.6% | 48.9% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 28.6% | 28.7% | 29.3% | 28.7% |
| Whiff rate | 21.0% | 23.3% | 25.0% | 23.3% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% |
| Ground-ball rate | 36.9% | 43.7% | 45.7% | 43.7% |
| Hard-hit rate | 41.9% | 40.6% | 38.2% | 40.6% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% |
| Strikeout rate | 20.7% | 21.5% | 23.6% | 21.5% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 23.3% | 23.8% | 23.3% |
| All fastball usage | — | 66.2% | 66.2% | 66.2% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 26.8% | 27.4% | 26.8% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| First secondary usage | — | 21.0% | 22.3% | 21.0% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 20.9% | 20.2% | 20.9% |