Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 15.5 in
- RP forecast
- 15.5 in
Loading projection…
| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.45 | 1.37 | 21.0% | 9.3% | 47.1% |
| RP | 3.99 | 1.33 | 23.1% | 9.6% | 49.1% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 15.5 in | 15.5 in | 15.5 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 7.0 in | 7.1 in | 7.0 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.9 mph | 94.5 mph | 93.9 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 16.8 in | 16.9 in | 16.8 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 16.7 in | 16.8 in | 16.7 in |
| Stuff+ | 97 | 100 | 101 | 100 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | 99 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 103 | 104 | 103 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | 99 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| Zone rate | 44.4% | 46.9% | 46.7% | 46.9% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 26.0% | 28.0% | 28.6% | 28.0% |
| Whiff rate | 22.4% | 23.4% | 25.2% | 23.4% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% |
| Ground-ball rate | 47.4% | 47.1% | 49.1% | 47.1% |
| Hard-hit rate | 41.6% | 40.1% | 37.7% | 40.1% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 13.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% |
| Strikeout rate | 20.9% | 21.0% | 23.1% | 21.0% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 31.8% | 32.3% | 31.8% |
| All fastball usage | — | 51.4% | 51.4% | 51.4% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 23.8% | 24.4% | 23.8% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 16.8% | 15.9% | 16.8% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| First secondary usage | — | 23.6% | 24.8% | 23.6% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 18.9% | 18.1% | 18.9% |