Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 5.4 in
- RP forecast
- 5.3 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 5.4 in | 5.3 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 17.4 in | 17.5 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.0 mph | 94.6 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 11.8 in | 11.9 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 5.7 in | 5.8 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 102 | 100 | 102 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 99 | 101 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 104 | 104 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 62.7% | 53.9% | 53.7% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 20.5% | 26.4% | 27.0% | — |
| Whiff rate | 20.3% | 22.9% | 24.6% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 36.8% | 38.5% | 40.5% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 42.1% | 40.5% | 38.1% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 31.3% | 24.6% | 26.7% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 40.7% | 41.2% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 54.8% | 54.8% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 48.0% | 48.6% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 3.4% | 2.5% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 26.4% | 27.6% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 16.0% | 15.2% | — |