Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 10.5 in
- RP forecast
- 10.5 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 10.5 in | 10.5 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 14.7 in | 14.8 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.6 mph | 94.2 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 12.1 in | 12.2 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 12.2 in | 12.3 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 100 | 98 | 99 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 98 | 100 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 99 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 97 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 104 | 104 | — |
| Zone rate | 45.1% | 47.3% | 47.0% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 33.7% | 29.5% | 30.1% | — |
| Whiff rate | 34.7% | 27.6% | 29.4% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 40.4% | 40.8% | 42.8% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 30.9% | 38.3% | 35.9% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.7 pp | 0.7 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 28.9% | 22.9% | 25.0% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 25.5% | 26.1% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 44.0% | 44.0% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 29.4% | 30.0% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 32.6% | 31.7% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 30.5% | 31.7% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 22.3% | 21.5% | — |