Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 5.8 in
- RP forecast
- 5.7 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 3.76 | 1.18 | 24.5% | 6.8% | 44.6% |
| RP | 3.30 | 1.14 | 26.6% | 7.1% | 46.6% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 5.8 in | 5.7 in | 5.8 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.6 in | 16.6 in | 16.6 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.2 mph | 94.8 mph | 94.2 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 14.6 in | 14.7 in | 14.6 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 16.2 in | 16.3 in | 16.2 in |
| Stuff+ | 104 | 102 | 103 | 102 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 102 | 103 | 102 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 107 | 108 | 107 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | 97 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 106 | 106 | 106 |
| Zone rate | 47.3% | 48.4% | 48.2% | 48.4% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 31.6% | 30.0% | 30.6% | 30.0% |
| Whiff rate | 25.5% | 25.9% | 27.7% | 25.9% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% |
| Ground-ball rate | 45.1% | 44.6% | 46.6% | 44.6% |
| Hard-hit rate | 34.3% | 35.9% | 33.5% | 35.9% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% |
| Strikeout rate | 25.8% | 24.5% | 26.6% | 24.5% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 20.2% | 20.7% | 20.2% |
| All fastball usage | — | 58.1% | 58.1% | 58.1% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 39.0% | 39.6% | 39.0% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 22.7% | 21.8% | 22.7% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| First secondary usage | — | 23.0% | 24.2% | 23.0% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 15.1% | 14.3% | 15.1% |