Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 10.1 in
- RP · chosen
- 10.0 in
Loading projection…
| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP | 3.94 | 1.23 | 26.2% | 8.4% | 38.9% |
| RP · chosen | 3.48 | 1.19 | 28.3% | 8.7% | 40.9% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 10.1 in | 10.0 in | 10.0 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 14.6 in | 14.7 in | 14.7 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 96.7 mph | 97.3 mph | 97.3 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 6.2 in | 6.3 in | 6.3 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 17.6 in | 17.8 in | 17.8 in |
| Stuff+ | 117 | 105 | 106 | 106 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 109 | 111 | 111 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | 100 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 90 | 91 | 91 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 107 | 107 | 107 |
| Zone rate | 50.2% | 49.4% | 49.2% | 49.2% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 31.5% | 29.6% | 30.2% | 30.2% |
| Whiff rate | 30.4% | 28.1% | 29.8% | 29.8% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% |
| Ground-ball rate | 39.0% | 38.9% | 40.9% | 40.9% |
| Hard-hit rate | 34.6% | 41.1% | 38.7% | 38.7% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% |
| Strikeout rate | 30.9% | 26.2% | 28.3% | 28.3% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 27.8% | 28.4% | 28.4% |
| All fastball usage | — | 64.4% | 64.4% | 64.4% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 59.7% | 60.3% | 60.3% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| First secondary usage | — | 18.7% | 20.0% | 20.0% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% |