Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 6.1 in
- RP forecast
- 6.0 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 6.1 in | 6.0 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.9 in | 16.0 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.4 mph | 94.0 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 3.8 in | 3.9 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 16.8 in | 16.9 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 96 | 98 | 99 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 99 | 101 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 97 | 97 | — |
| Zone rate | 42.7% | 46.3% | 46.1% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 32.2% | 29.2% | 29.8% | — |
| Whiff rate | 23.8% | 24.0% | 25.8% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 49.6% | 44.7% | 46.7% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 40.0% | 39.4% | 37.0% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.0 pp | 0.0 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 14.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 17.6% | 19.7% | 21.8% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 34.4% | 35.0% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 47.1% | 47.2% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 29.8% | 30.3% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 19.0% | 18.1% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.5% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 20.4% | 21.6% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 19.4% | 18.6% | — |