Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 9.6 in
- RP forecast
- 9.5 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 3.77 | 1.19 | 26.9% | 8.1% | 39.7% |
| RP | 3.31 | 1.15 | 29.0% | 8.4% | 41.7% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 9.6 in | 9.5 in | 9.6 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.5 in | 15.5 in | 15.5 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 96.0 mph | 96.6 mph | 96.0 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 18.7 in | 18.8 in | 18.7 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 8.1 in | 8.3 in | 8.1 in |
| Stuff+ | 114 | 105 | 107 | 105 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 108 | 110 | 108 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 105 | 106 | 105 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 103 | 102 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 106 | 106 | 106 |
| Zone rate | 52.6% | 51.0% | 50.8% | 51.0% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 36.4% | 30.3% | 30.9% | 30.3% |
| Whiff rate | 27.9% | 28.4% | 30.2% | 28.4% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% |
| Ground-ball rate | 38.1% | 39.7% | 41.7% | 39.7% |
| Hard-hit rate | 34.5% | 37.6% | 35.2% | 37.6% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% |
| Strikeout rate | 28.4% | 26.9% | 29.0% | 26.9% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 14.5% | 15.0% | 14.5% |
| All fastball usage | — | 79.8% | 79.8% | 79.8% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 43.1% | 43.6% | 43.1% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| First secondary usage | — | 20.2% | 21.4% | 20.2% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 18.3% | 17.5% | 18.3% |