Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 11.0 in
- RP forecast
- 11.0 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 11.0 in | 11.0 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.0 in | 16.0 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.3 mph | 94.9 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 13.5 in | 13.6 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 15.3 in | 15.4 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 95 | 98 | 99 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 96 | 98 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 93 | 93 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 52.0% | 49.9% | 49.6% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 26.8% | 27.7% | 28.3% | — |
| Whiff rate | 17.4% | 21.3% | 23.0% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 40.9% | 40.4% | 42.4% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 36.4% | 39.7% | 37.3% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.1 pp | -0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 17.1% | 10.5% | 10.8% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 20.0% | 20.2% | 22.3% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 21.5% | 22.1% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 55.1% | 55.1% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 40.3% | 40.9% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 24.8% | 23.9% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 23.7% | 24.9% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 13.0% | 12.3% | — |