Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 10.5 in
- RP · chosen
- 10.5 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP | 4.43 | 1.31 | 22.9% | 8.9% | 36.9% |
| RP · chosen | 3.97 | 1.27 | 25.0% | 9.1% | 38.9% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 10.5 in | 10.5 in | 10.5 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.9 in | 16.9 in | 16.9 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 95.1 mph | 95.6 mph | 95.6 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 12.4 in | 12.6 in | 12.6 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 16.1 in | 16.3 in | 16.3 in |
| Stuff+ | 102 | 100 | 101 | 101 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 99 | 101 | 101 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 103 | 104 | 104 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | 100 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| Zone rate | 45.5% | 47.5% | 47.3% | 47.3% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 28.8% | 29.1% | 29.7% | 29.7% |
| Whiff rate | 28.1% | 26.6% | 28.3% | 28.3% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% |
| Ground-ball rate | 34.7% | 36.9% | 38.9% | 38.9% |
| Hard-hit rate | 37.0% | 40.3% | 37.8% | 37.8% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.0 pp | -0.0 pp | -0.0 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% |
| Strikeout rate | 23.4% | 22.9% | 25.0% | 25.0% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 24.4% | 24.9% | 24.9% |
| All fastball usage | — | 55.6% | 55.6% | 55.6% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 46.0% | 46.5% | 46.5% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 20.9% | 20.0% | 20.0% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 20.2% | 21.4% | 21.4% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 20.4% | 19.7% | 19.7% |