Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 8.7 in
- RP forecast
- 8.6 in
Loading projection…
Final projection unavailable. The results-only forecast remains available below.
Saved source inputs unavailable
Final role scenarios and park context unavailable
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 8.7 in | 8.6 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 12.8 in | 12.9 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.4 mph | 94.0 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 14.6 in | 14.7 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 16.4 in | 16.6 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 97 | 98 | 99 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 94 | 94 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 105 | 106 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 99 | 99 | — |
| Zone rate | 51.9% | 49.8% | 49.6% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 29.9% | 28.5% | 29.1% | — |
| Whiff rate | 23.4% | 23.0% | 24.8% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 1.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 51.7% | 45.3% | 47.3% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 25.0% | 37.1% | 34.7% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 28.7% | 22.4% | 24.5% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 42.2% | 42.7% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 52.9% | 53.0% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 22.7% | 23.3% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 3.6% | 2.7% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 26.0% | 27.3% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 26.7% | 25.9% | — |