Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 9.7 in
- RP forecast
- 9.6 in
Loading projection…
| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.22 | 1.31 | 24.3% | 9.3% | 42.4% |
| RP | 3.77 | 1.27 | 26.4% | 9.6% | 44.4% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 9.7 in | 9.6 in | 9.7 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.9 in | 15.9 in | 15.9 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 97.5 mph | 98.1 mph | 97.5 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 6.4 in | 6.5 in | 6.4 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 3.5 in | 3.6 in | 3.5 in |
| Stuff+ | 110 | 104 | 105 | 104 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 103 | 105 | 103 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 107 | 108 | 107 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | 100 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 106 | 106 | 106 |
| Zone rate | 46.7% | 47.8% | 47.6% | 47.8% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 33.3% | 29.9% | 30.5% | 29.9% |
| Whiff rate | 29.7% | 28.1% | 29.8% | 28.1% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% |
| Ground-ball rate | 43.1% | 42.4% | 44.4% | 42.4% |
| Hard-hit rate | 42.8% | 41.0% | 38.5% | 41.0% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% |
| Strikeout rate | 23.6% | 24.3% | 26.4% | 24.3% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 22.4% | 22.9% | 22.4% |
| All fastball usage | — | 45.8% | 45.9% | 45.8% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 39.9% | 40.5% | 39.9% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 33.7% | 32.8% | 33.7% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 32.7% | 34.0% | 32.7% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 19.2% | 18.4% | 19.2% |