Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 3.1 in
- RP forecast
- 3.0 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 3.1 in | 3.0 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.8 in | 15.9 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.4 mph | 95.0 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 7.9 in | 8.0 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 9.1 in | 9.3 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 90 | 96 | 97 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 93 | 94 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 92 | 92 | — |
| Zone rate | 44.6% | 47.1% | 46.8% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 26.4% | 27.5% | 28.1% | — |
| Whiff rate | 30.0% | 25.4% | 27.2% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 13.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 30.8% | 37.7% | 39.7% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 38.5% | 40.6% | 38.2% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.6 pp | 0.6 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 14.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 17.9% | 18.3% | 20.4% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 12.4% | 12.9% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 60.7% | 60.7% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 27.7% | 28.3% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 29.5% | 28.6% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 28.4% | 29.7% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 28.8% | 28.1% | — |