Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 9.2 in
- RP forecast
- 9.1 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 9.2 in | 9.1 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 13.3 in | 13.3 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.7 mph | 94.3 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 6.3 in | 6.4 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | — * | — * | — |
| Stuff+ | 104 | 101 | 102 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 100 | 102 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 103 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 106 | 106 | — |
| Zone rate | 49.7% | 49.0% | 48.8% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 22.0% | 26.8% | 27.4% | — |
| Whiff rate | 25.4% | 24.6% | 26.3% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 40.0% | 41.3% | 43.3% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 46.0% | 41.0% | 38.6% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.2 pp | -0.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 12.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 21.3% | 21.0% | 23.1% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 31.9% | 32.5% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 60.4% | 60.4% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 51.5% | 52.0% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 7.1% | 6.2% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 24.7% | 25.9% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | — * | — * | — |