Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 13.2 in
- RP forecast
- 13.1 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.34 | 1.27 | 21.0% | 6.8% | 40.1% |
| RP | 3.88 | 1.23 | 23.1% | 7.1% | 42.1% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 13.2 in | 13.1 in | 13.2 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 10.3 in | 10.4 in | 10.3 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 90.8 mph | 91.4 mph | 90.8 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 12.8 in | 13.0 in | 12.8 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 18.4 in | 18.5 in | 18.4 in |
| Stuff+ | 97 | 97 | 99 | 97 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 93 | 95 | 93 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 103 | 103 | 103 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | 97 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 107 | 107 | 107 |
| Zone rate | 51.6% | 50.7% | 50.4% | 50.7% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 31.1% | 29.9% | 30.5% | 29.9% |
| Whiff rate | 22.2% | 22.4% | 24.1% | 22.4% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% |
| Ground-ball rate | 40.1% | 40.1% | 42.1% | 40.1% |
| Hard-hit rate | 42.5% | 40.2% | 37.8% | 40.2% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% |
| Strikeout rate | 22.1% | 21.0% | 23.1% | 21.0% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 29.3% | 29.8% | 29.3% |
| All fastball usage | — | 63.2% | 63.3% | 63.2% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 36.8% | 37.3% | 36.8% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| First secondary usage | — | 27.9% | 29.2% | 27.9% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 18.3% | 17.6% | 18.3% |