Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 18.0 in
- RP forecast
- 17.9 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 3.51 | 1.18 | 25.9% | 6.6% | 55.6% |
| RP | 3.05 | 1.14 | 28.0% | 6.9% | 57.6% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 18.0 in | 17.9 in | 18.0 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 3.9 in | 4.0 in | 3.9 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.6 mph | 95.2 mph | 94.6 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 16.8 in | 16.9 in | 16.8 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 4.1 in | 4.2 in | 4.1 in |
| Stuff+ | 120 | 106 | 107 | 106 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 105 | 107 | 105 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 110 | 111 | 110 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 103 | 104 | 103 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 101 | 101 | 101 |
| Zone rate | 47.0% | 48.1% | 47.9% | 48.1% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 36.3% | 33.1% | 33.7% | 33.1% |
| Whiff rate | 31.3% | 29.2% | 30.9% | 29.2% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% |
| Ground-ball rate | 58.0% | 55.6% | 57.6% | 55.6% |
| Hard-hit rate | 42.0% | 39.3% | 36.8% | 39.3% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% |
| Strikeout rate | 26.9% | 25.9% | 28.0% | 25.9% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 19.1% | 19.7% | 19.1% |
| All fastball usage | — | 45.9% | 45.9% | 45.9% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 42.7% | 43.3% | 42.7% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 36.0% | 35.1% | 36.0% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 34.8% | 36.0% | 34.8% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 18.8% | 18.0% | 18.8% |